Is My Mortgage Offer Competitive? How to Actually Check
Rates get all the attention, but lenders compete on three numbers. Here is how to compare yours against what borrowers actually paid — using federal loan-level data, not marketing averages.
By TermVerify Research Team · Published July 12, 2026 · Data methodology
The short answer
A mortgage offer is competitive when its lender-controlled costs — Sections A + B + C on page 2 of your Loan Estimate — and its rate-and-points combination sit at or below the median for loans like yours: same state, same purpose, similar loan size.
Across 2,706,510 purchase mortgages originated in 2025, the median borrower paid $6,731 in total loan costs at a median rate of 6.49%. If your A+B+C total is above $10,653, you are paying more than 75% of comparable borrowers — that is worth a phone call.
Why "is 6.5% a good rate" is the wrong question
Two offers with the same rate can differ by thousands of dollars, because the rate is only one of the three numbers a lender controls. An offer that advertises a low rate can recover the difference — and more — through discount points and origination fees. An offer with a slightly higher rate and a genuine lender credit can leave you ahead for years.
The three numbers that decide whether an offer is competitive:
- Total loan costs (Sections A + B + C). Origination charges, required services, and shoppable services. This is the number federal regulators use to compare lender pricing, and it is the number in the table below.
- The rate in light of the points paid for it. A rate bought down with points is not a better price — it is a prepayment. It only wins if you keep the loan past the break-even month (worked example below).
- Origination charges alone (Section A). This is the purest lender-set number: median $1,890 on 2025 purchase loans. An underwriting-plus-processing stack far above that has no market justification.
What does not belong in the comparison: taxes, prepaid interest, and escrow deposits (Sections E–G). Those are set by your county, your closing date, and your insurer — a lender quoting lower escrow is not offering you a better price, just a different guess.
What borrowers actually paid in 2025
These figures come from the federal Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) loan-level records that lenders are required by law to file — every closed first-lien purchase mortgage on a site-built primary residence, not a survey or an advertisement. Total loan costs below correspond to Loan Estimate Sections A + B + C.
| Market | Median loan costs | Typical range (25th–75th) | Median rate | Loans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | $6,731 | $4,416 – $10,653 | 6.49% | 2,706,510 |
| CA | $9,428 | $6,308 – $15,335 | 6.375% | 196,941 |
| TX | $8,515 | $5,702 – $12,074 | 6.25% | 280,330 |
| FL | $8,798 | $5,536 – $12,944 | 6.375% | 218,728 |
| NY | $6,505 | $4,496 – $10,522 | 6.499% | 91,571 |
| PA | $6,511 | $4,891 – $9,335 | 6.5% | 93,538 |
| OH | $5,258 | $3,888 – $8,006 | 6.575% | 104,229 |
Source: CFPB/FFIEC HMDA 2025 Modified LAR, published March 31, 2026. Population: first-lien, site-built, principal-residence purchase loans with reported loan costs. Costs vary strongly with loan size — larger loans carry more points and title premium — so compare against your state and loan bracket, not just the national line. Full filters and definitions on our methodology page.
Worked example: the lower rate that costs more
Take a $335,000 purchase loan — the national median — with two offers on the table:
Offer A
6.50% — no points
Loan costs: $6,700 · Monthly P&I: $2,117
Offer B
6.25% — with $3,200 in points
Loan costs: $9,900 · Monthly P&I: $2,063
Offer B saves $54 a month but costs $3,200 more upfront: the break-even is about 59 months. If you might sell or refinance within five years — which describes most borrowers — the "higher" rate in Offer A is the cheaper loan. Neither offer is bad; they are different bets on how long you keep the mortgage. An offer is only uncompetitive when you pay above-market costs without getting a below-market rate in return.
The red flags that actually matter
- Loan costs above the 75th percentile for your state ($10,653 nationally) with no lender credit offsetting them.
- Points on the worksheet, market rate on the sheet. If you are paying points and still quoted at or above the median rate, the points are buying the lender margin, not buying you a rate.
- A stacked Section A — separate underwriting, processing, application, and administration fees that together run far past the $1,890 median. Each fee may be lawful and disclosed; the stack is the negotiation target.
- A quote that looks cheaper only in Sections E–G. Prepaids and escrow get trued up at closing no matter what the estimate said.
None of these prove misconduct — higher fees are sometimes the honest price of a harder loan. They are the places where asking "can you do better here?" most often moves the number.
How to run the check on your own offer
- Open page 2 of your Loan Estimate and add Sections A + B + C (the form subtotals them as "D. Total Loan Costs").
- Compare that number against your state's median and typical range above.
- Note your rate and any points in Section A — if points are present, compute the break-even against a no-points quote.
- Get at least two more Loan Estimates within the same week and compare the same three numbers, never the bottom-line "cash to close."
Important limitation: these benchmarks are closed 2025 loans — a market snapshot, not a live quote. Rates move weekly; cost structure moves slowly. Use the cost side of the table with confidence and the rate column only as context.
Common questions
Is a 6.5% mortgage rate good?
On its own, the question is unanswerable — a rate is only good or bad relative to when it was locked, how many points were paid for it, and your loan profile. For context, the median rate across 2,706,510 2025 purchase loans was 6.49%, but many borrowers paid discount points to get there. A 6.5% rate with zero points can be a better deal than 6.25% with $4,000 in points.
Which closing costs can I actually negotiate?
Section A (origination charges: underwriting, processing, application, points) is set by the lender and is the most negotiable. Section B services cannot be shopped but Section C services can — you can choose your own title company in most states. Sections E–G (taxes, prepaid interest, escrow) are mostly outside the lender’s control, so a "cheaper" quote that only shrinks those sections is not actually cheaper.
How many Loan Estimates should I compare?
Three is the practical sweet spot, requested within the same few days so rate movements do not muddy the comparison. Federal research has repeatedly found that borrowers who get multiple quotes save meaningfully; borrowers who accept the first offer are the ones most likely to overpay.
Will getting multiple quotes hurt my credit score?
Credit scoring models treat multiple mortgage inquiries within a shopping window (14–45 days depending on the model) as a single inquiry. Rate shopping is expected behavior, not a red flag.
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